Agmates

Just as the Rudd Labor government announces that it was pressing ahead with its Carbon Reduction Scheme two US Scientists have released a paper that contradicts the whole man made global warming theory.

Stunningly their research is from data collected by Australia’s own CSIRO.

Boston (MA) - Scientists at MIT have recorded a nearly simultaneous world-wide increase in methane levels. This is the first increase in ten years, and what baffles science is that this data contradicts theories stating man is the primary source of increase for this greenhouse gas.

According to the Man made Global warming theory thats not supposed to happen.

One thing does seem very clear, however; science is only beginning to get a handle on the big picture of global warming. Findings like these tell us it’s too early to know for sure if man’s impact is affecting things at the political cry of “alarming rates.”

We may simply be going through another natural cycle of warmer and colder times - one that’s been observed through a scientific analysis of the Earth to be naturally occuring for hundreds of thousands of years.

It is beyond comprehension that the Rudd Labor government is planning to plunge Australia into a Carbon Constrained future while current events and science is casting doubts over whether rising CO2 levels are actually causing climate change.

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In what can only be described as a scandalous act of deception it has been revealed that the IPCC has grossly overstated global livestock emissions.

The FAO report, Livestock’s Long Shadow, [pictured] made public last year to world acclaim, states that livestock contributes 18 per cent of the global warming effect, even more than transport.

But buried in the report is the information that deforestation - mainly in the Amazonian rainforest - is included in that figure. Without it, livestock’s contribution falls to less than 12 per cent.

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One of the report’s main authors, Pierre Gerber, a Food Agriculture Organization of the United Nations livestock policy officer, has been openly critical of IPCC Chairman Dr Rajendra Pachauri and others, saying they had misused the information in the report.

If you recall, based on the report Dr Pachauri [pictured] an Indian Economist and Vegetarian has been campaigning for the world to eat less meat to fight global warming.

In Professor Ross Garnaut final report last week he devoted an entire section to cutting Australia’s livestock emissions, extensively quoting the trumped up 18% figure for Australia’s livestock emissions.

This is just another example of how the IPCC has distorted and misconstrue the science. Yet they still maintain credibility. This is the science that Kevin Rudd and his Labor team are relying on to set policy in Australia.

The emissions trading scheme Rudd intends to introduce in just 14 months time will cost ordinary Australians $5 billion dollars in Carbon Taxes in the first year. Based on this kind on dodgy representation of the science, it will be an abject disaster, particularly for Australian Agriculture.

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(thanks to Agmate - Jeff)

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Queensland Senator Ron Boswell writes:

The Garnaut Climate Change Review final report neglects food security and the current world food shortages.

There is a balance between food and trees and Professor Garnaut’s report tips this fine balance well and truly away from food.

This paper doesn’t give any significant consideration to food security. In fact it goes the other way and seeks to reduce Australia’s beef herd by a massive 7million cattle and 36 million sheep by 2020.

The only food shortage solution Professor Garnaut comes up with is to increase the number of kangaroos from 34 million to 240million by 2020.

For Garnaut to come out with an Emissions Trading Scheme that has no thought of food security shows a lack of real balanced consideration.

Australia should be the food bowl of the world; instead Garnaut’s answer is to turn us into a tree basin.

In one fell swoop Garnaut recommends turning 9.1 million hectares of marginal sheep and cattle country into a forestry plantation. The sunburnt country will be turned into a nation covered by trees and kangaroos if Professor Garnaut has his way.

There is no discussion of the socio-economic impact on communities in the regions that will no longer have livestock and will be covered by trees that will be produced, not for timber, but to be buried in the ground (The Australian, p1, 30/09/08).

What will happen to the people, the jobs and the towns, Professor Garnaut?

It has already been established by one abattoir, that they will be paying $33.60per head extra to cover the cost of the ruminant emissions and $17 per head for increased electricity cost.

This increase of $50 per head will no doubt be taken out of the pockets of the grazier. How much will it cost for one of the world’s major protein sources if we accept Garnaut’s industry numbers decline?

Garnaut seems to be on some sort of frolic where he dreams 240 million kangaroos and 9.1 million hectares of trees solving the problems of the world.

Alas, this latest Garnaut report goes from the sublime to the ridiculous. The whole process is losing credibility by the outlandish concepts that this latest paper discusses.

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Ross Garnaut understanding that under the proposed Emissions Trading Scheme rural and regional Australian communities are “Rooted” .

He has sunk to the depths of ridiculous in ways he believes Australian farmers can benefit from the scheme.

Read the Garnaut report, in it he indicates that those farmers running cattle and sheep are in for a very tough time from day one and will be completely un - viable after Agriculture is bought into the scheme around 2013. From that point farmers will have to buy permits to cover their livestock Methane emissions.

His solution is laughable - switch from cattle and sheep grazing to Kangaroos.

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AUSTRALIANS should replace beef and lamb on the dinner table with kangaroo to fight climate change, Kevin Rudd’s chief climate change adviser says.

They conclude that by 2020, beef cattle and sheep numbers in the rangelands could be reduced by seven million and 36 million respectively, and that this would create the opportunity for an increase in kangaroo numbers from 34 million today to 240million by 2020,” he says.

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Below is a photo of Skippy fattened on Salt bush.

Garnaut in his report is desperate to find some glimmer of hope for farmers. This purely fanciful suggestion is testamony to that.

Garnaut notes there are some barriers to the switch to Roo meat. As stated by the good professor they are:

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Livestock and Farm Management issues

Consumer resistance

and a gradual Nature of change in food tastes.

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This whole business would be hilarious if it wasn’t such deadly serious nonsense. Farmers need solutions to their long term viability now not in 3 generations time when consumer food tastes change.

Garnaut knows farmers are the “sacrifical lambs” in this ETS sham. Garnaut admits the ETS will have zero impact on Global climate.

He also knows that Farmers and rural communities will be crucified by the scheme, which is chiefly desinged to give the Rudd Government global green kudos and Australian Urban dwellers a warm and fuzzy green glow.

What a national disgrace.

(thanks to Agmates reader MattB)

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Farmers are more in tune with climate change and nature than any Gaia worshiping dreadlocked greenie or white coated, climate modeling laboratory closeted CSIRO / BOM scientist.

Farmers are the metaphoric “Canary in the Coal Mine” when it comes to Global Warming.

The weather / climate is the most critical external factor in all farming enterprises. Farmers monitor the weather and nature everyday. Walk into any farmers office and you will find meticulously completed rainfall charts for the property going back decades. Every millimetre received on any given day is faithfully recorded on one of the charts.

Farmers even know by watching nature what the coming weather will be and in lots of cases those signs are more accurate than the weather bureau.

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“IF YOU want to predict the wet, look to the wild. That’s the advice from farmers who say unusual animal activity, such as twin lamb births, loud frog croaks, turtle movements and ant invasions - are a sign of impending storms.“

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It is really interesting to look at The Old Farmer’s Almanac which has been published in the USA every year for the last 218 years (since 1792).

At the Old Farmers Almanac they know there is climate change, but they like most farmers are Skeptical of the AGW mantra:

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“Over the past century, climatic conditions have run from cool in the 1900s to warm in the ’30s to cool in the ’60s to warm in the ’80s, and many of us have come to believe that mankind has been responsible for the swings.

Scientists have blamed us for generating warming greenhouse gases, then polluting the air with sun-blocking particulates, and raising temperatures through urbanization, deforestation, and greenhouse gases.

There is another possible explanation for-or, at least, influence on-climate change. This involves natural factors, most notably the Sun and Earth’s oceans.

We at the Almanac are among those who believe that sunspot cycles and their effects on oceans correlate with climate changes. Studying these and other factors suggests that a cold, not warm, climate may be in our future.

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Follow this link to their site. You can purchase the 2009 Old Farmers Almanac at their online book store. Below is a great pictorial time line from their site.

After two centuries of watching the weather and listening to the wild and exaggerated prophesy of future doom through world warming then ice ages, farmers experience, nous and affinity with nature means they will be the first to know if castasptophic climate change was occurring.

Contrary to what green groups, environmentalist and scientists try and convince the public, Farmers are the ‘Canary in the coal mine‘ when it comes to climate change.

That being the case, ask yourself why the vast majority of farmers are climate change deniers. Farmers live every year like a canary in a coal mine. Like the canary, if farmers stop singing its time to get out.

By they way farmers are still singing especially about this years

“Record world grain harvest, thanks to perfect weather”.

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CEO of the QLD Farmers Federation John Cherry [pictured] writes:

The Australian Farm Institute has done farmers a huge favour pointing out the massive cost that an Emissions Trading Scheme could impose on farming.

While that cost will be biggest for livestock producers if methane is included from 2015, all farmers will cop it on the inputs like fertiliser, diesel and freight from 2010 (although a rebate on on-farm fuel use will be offered for the first three years).

Queensland Farmers Federation has been arguing that the Government needs to look at more cost effective alternatives, such as uptake of better farm practices on soil, water, feedstock, nutrients and vegetation. A lot of this is not counted under the Kyoto protocol’s accounting rules, making emissions trading even more troublesome for farmers.

While the Government has acknowledged that farming faces particular challenges and will not be included fully in the ETS in 2010, it has not offered full compensation for the cost impost then (even though the ETS will make us less competitive in export markets).

Nor, has it been prepared to seriously consider alternative approaches for the future.

Incidentally, your article was heavily critical of the National Farmers’ Federation’s stance on the ETS. I think this is a bit unfair.

QFF is not a member of the NFF, but we are very supportive of the huge amount of work NFF has put into its
comprehensive 47-page submission on the Government’s emissions trading green paper delivered last week.

That submission covers all the big issues in an informed technical way building up a compelling case for a better approach.

Clearly though, farmers have a long way to go to persuade Canberra that emissions trading might not be the best thing since sliced bread for our sector.

As the Farm Institute’s research and similar work done in New Zealand shows, failure to get this policy right could be devastating for the profitability of our sector.

And that would be on top of what ABARE tells us will be the very substantial cost of adapting to climate change and increased climate variability for our sector.

John Cherry

CEO Queensland Farmers Federation.

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Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum:
How Humans Took Control of Climate
William F. Ruddiman

Winner of the 2006 Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science, Phi Beta Kappa Book Award

The “Ruddiman Hypothesis” will spark intense debate. We learn the impact of farming on greenhouse gas levels, thousands of years before the industrial revolution, kept our planet notably warmer than if natural climate cycles had prevailed quite possibly forestalling a new ice age.

Did humankind’s active involvement in climate change really begin with the industrial revolution, as commonly believed? William Ruddiman’s provocative new book argues that humans have actually been changing the climate for some 8,000 years–as a result of the earlier discovery of agriculture.

Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum is the first book to trace the full historical sweep of human interaction with Earth’s climate. Ruddiman takes us through three broad stages of human history: when nature was in control; when humans began to take control, discovering agriculture and affecting climate through carbon dioxide and methane emissions; and, finally, the more recent human impact on climate change.

Along the way he raises the fascinating possibility that plagues, by depleting human populations, also affected reforestation and thus climate–as suggested by dips in greenhouse gases when major pandemics have occurred.

The book concludes by looking to the future and critiquing the impact of special interest money on the global warming debate.

Reviews:

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What William Ruddiman has done in Plows, Plagues and Petroleum, an attractive, well-written new book aimed at a popular audience, is to explore the geochemical and climatological implications of worldwide deforestation over the past several thousand years. . . . Ruddiman’s argument makes it clear that there is no ‘natural’ baseline of climate in the late Holocene from which to reckon the human impact of the past two centuries.”–Wolfgang H. Berger, American Scientist

“William Ruddiman’s provocative but plausible conclusion is that the economic behavior of humans began to profoundly influence global climate roughly 8000 years ago. . . . Ruddiman’s book has already begun to spark an important debate–a debate which economic historians should be eager to follow and join.”–Robert Whaples, EH.net

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I’m not a believer in conspiracy theories of any kind. There does however appear to be forces at work to stop the consumption of beef by the world under the guise of stopping global warming.

Through meticulous research and as it happens quite by accident Agmates has stumbled upon the real culprits behind the world wide push to stop eating meat from cows.

We had thought it was IPCC chairman and strict  Vegetarian Dr Rajendra Pachauri claiming cattle caused global warming. As it turns out it is something far more sinister.

You can’t ignore photographic evidence like this - The real culprits:

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Chairman of the UN’s IPCC Dr Rajendra Pachauri a committed vegan has called on the world to cut its meet consumption to stop global warming.

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Dr Rajenda Pachauri [pictured] claims:

“That current global animal production is responsible for 18% of all human-induced greenhouse gas emissions - and the figure is set to double by 2050.”

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British Cattle Producers have hit back at the Indian Global warming chief:

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“BEEF farmers have launched a stinging attack on a climate change expert who will tonight urge consumers to abandon meat diets in favour of vegetarianism.

The UK’s National Beef Association (NBA) reacted to the speech with “disappointment, and a weary lack of surprise”.

NBA chairman Christopher Thomas-Everard said the 18% figure had long since been discredited since it was first “invented” in 2006 in a FOA report “Livestock’s Long Shadow”.

A third of the 18% was attributed in that report to the clearance of Amazonian rainforest, originally for cattle ranching and now, more commonly, for the growing of crops like soya. It was based on the peak 2004 figure of 26,000 sq km of rainforest burned.”

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More fudged figures from the UN’s IPCC - now thats a surprise.

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Prime Minister Kevin Rudd tells us that based on the science coming out of the UN’s IPCC Australia must implement a Carbon Emissions reduction scheme.

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Kevin Rudd [ pictured at the UN]

“Well, I just look at what the scientists say. There’s a group of scientists called the International Panel on Climate Change - 4000 [2,500 actually] of them. Guys in white coats who run around and don’t have a sense of humour.

They just measure things. And what they say to us is it’s happening and it’s caused by human activity.

I am not, myself, a qualified scientist. I’m elected as Prime Minister of Australia to act on the basis of the considered scientific advice.”

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But look what else the Chairman of the IPCC Dr Rajendra Pachauri [pictured at the top] is urging the world to do to combat global warming:

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People should have one meat-free day a week if they want to make a personal and effective sacrifice that would help tackle climate change, the world’s leading authority on global warming has told The Observer

Dr Rajendra Pachauri, chair of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which last year earned a joint share of the Nobel Peace Prize, said that people should then go on to reduce their meat consumption even further.

Pachauri, who was re-elected the panel’s chairman for a second six-year term last week, said diet change was important because of the huge greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental problems - including habitat destruction - associated with rearing cattle and other animals.

‘Give up meat for one day [a week] initially, and decrease it from there,’ said the Indian economist, who is a vegetarian.

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Kevin Rudd has already singled his intention to blindly follow Pachauri and his humorless men in white coats considered scientific advise.

It needs to be asked, if Rudd subscribes to the IPCC ideology, what then are his plans for the Australian Meat industry? Does he endorse Dr Pachauri’s recommendations in regard to eating less meat?

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