I’m going to conduct an interesting little experiment here. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has posted their forecast for October to December for the whole of Australia.
Come January we will be able to pull BOM maps and see how the period compares to these forecasts.
These maps are sourced from the BOM site. The probability of exceeding mediam rainfall between October and December.
The Bureau notes:
- Western Australia – The chances of exceeding the median rainfall are between 75-80pc in the Gascoyne region, Central to Western WA @ 60-70pc with Eastern dropping to 55-60pc.
- Queensland - The chances of exceeding the median rainfall are between 70pc and 75pc for Central Queensland with most remaining areas of the state expected to have a 60-70pc chance of exceeding the median.
- Northern Territory – Eastern NT that has been drought stricken this year has between 60-70pc while Western NT has 55-60pc
- New South Wales – Northern NSW is looking at 60-70pc, Central 60pc and southern 50pc
- In what is not good news for the Murray darling the Bureau predicts drier conditions in southeastern Australia, including Tasmania.
- Victoria - Southern Victoria is predicted to have little hope at 25-40pc. The rest of the state is little better with 40-50pc
- South Australia – Eastern South Australia is given only a 30-40pc chance. Mid North, Eyre Peninsular, Flinders Ranges and pastoral country just 40-50pc. The desert country in the north east 60-65pc.
- Tasmania – Not much hope at all at just 30-40pc for the whole apple island.
Now for Temperature: The probability of exceeding average maximum temperatures between October and December.
At least with temperatures the BOM is consistent. I’m mean with global warming its supposed to be getting hotter.
They have predicted the median maximum temperature for October to December is between 60pc and 75pc for much of Australia, including the eastern states, most of SA, eastern and northern parts of the NT, and southern WA.
So we’ll see in January – won’t we.
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Tags: BOM, CO2, Global Warming, Rainfall
