Our friend over at Niche Modeling Dr David Stockwell has checked the CSIRO’s figures and assumptions behind the Scaremongering warning’s of more droughts, heat waves, cyclones thanks to global warming.
Based on the CSIRO reports both PM Rudd & Ag Minister Tony Burke have predicted dire consequences for Australia unless we adopt and Emissions reduction scheme by 2010.
Anybody who lives in the glorious climate that is Australia and has an once of common sense knows that it’s not getting hotter, so immediatley we thought the research was a crock.
After looking the modeling the CSIRO used and crunching the numbers Dr Stockwell has found that the CSIRO’s models are in fact worthless,
“Therefore there is no credible basis for the claims of increasing frequency of Exceptional Circumstances declarations made in the report. These results are consistent with other studies finding lack of adequate validation in global warming effects modeling, and lack of skill of climate models at the regional scale….
Except in the few cases noted above, the model simulations have no resemblance to patterns of observed droughtedness in the last century. We conclude the models have failed internal validation and no further testing is warranted.”
The above is consistent with a recent study that found that climate models of the type that the CSIRO have used are of little or no value when it comes to predicting future climate.
Kevin Rudd and his Labor government are about to plunge Australians into a world of Carbon Induced economic pain based on shonky CSIRO scientific data. WoW.
Exceptional circumstances drought conditions … will occur twice as often and with twice the area of droughted parts of Australia included.
Now this is a serious revision of the impact of climate change on drought.
When it comes to exceptional or extreme drought, exceptionally high temperatures, the historical assumption that this occurred once every 20 years has now been revised down to between every one and two years.
Exceptional circumstances drought conditions … will occur twice as often and with twice the area of droughted parts of Australia included. Now this is a serious revision of the impact of climate change on drought.”
Only problem is Mr Rudd and his team are drumming up a scare campaign on the climate based on Junk Science. Not good for they’re collective credibility.
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Tags: CSIRO, David Stockwell, Kevin Rudd, Tony Burke
